Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.889078e-01 0.772047 0.980370 1.231590 1.523079 1.847574 2.233025
2025-02-16 2.839717e-01 0.482319 0.744666 1.101419 1.558826 2.111625 2.816083
2025-02-23 1.429533e-01 0.329255 0.618993 1.060353 1.676672 2.471461 3.538458
2025-03-02 6.380280e-02 0.218656 0.509465 1.006735 1.758369 2.783760 4.220712
2025-03-09 3.379575e-02 0.173263 0.482970 1.062703 1.990589 3.306104 5.202431
2025-03-16 1.331154e-02 0.124047 0.427635 1.055987 2.123019 3.694493 6.021956
2025-03-23 6.412202e-03 0.105710 0.426837 1.139893 2.398845 4.298230 7.158831
2025-03-30 2.281271e-03 0.086058 0.413366 1.195223 2.629816 4.844911 8.234048
2025-04-06 4.076697e-04 0.066121 0.387957 1.219998 2.808318 5.318207 9.218319
2025-04-13 3.281903e-07 0.044241 0.340766 1.187438 2.881345 5.630243 9.976980
2025-04-20 NaN 0.032145 0.316663 1.198704 3.029362 6.060801 10.917144
2025-04-27 NaN 0.023460 0.297749 1.216889 3.188741 6.512533 11.897701
2025-05-04 NaN 0.012937 0.254213 1.165217 3.215655 6.759598 12.592125
2025-05-11 NaN 0.006355 0.216427 1.116800 3.242260 7.005502 13.291306
2025-05-18 NaN 0.003466 0.197771 1.117112 3.364946 7.414242 14.248917
2025-05-25 NaN 0.001292 0.171052 1.083660 3.413259 7.697450 15.018262
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000949 0.175721 1.154899 3.688264 8.376786 16.418541
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000316 0.160889 1.154485 3.807353 8.789323 17.407925
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000268 0.171116 1.247331 4.136750 9.576763 19.001708
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000143 0.172746 1.308211 4.397591 10.249540 20.424030
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000034 0.166065 1.335688 4.584480 10.796096 21.654306
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.145604 1.301667 4.628102 11.088528 22.483349
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.136988 1.313981 4.778780 11.575198 23.630477